Black Holes or Black Hole Stars? Astronomers Spar Over Webb Telescope’s ‘Little Red Dots.’

In a paper posted last week, astronomers took this analysis a step further. They argued that the Webb telescope is witnessing the births of supermassive black holes inside the cores of colossal stars. “There is a fundamentally new phenomenon afoot,” said Rohan Naidu, an astronomer at the University of Hawai‘i.

But not everyone agrees with this bold interpretation. It has sparked a flurry of follow-up research and reignited a fierce debate over the nature of these peculiar pinpricks of light.

“The field has gotten very polarized,” said Anna-Christina Eilers, an astrophysicist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who studies little red dots.

The Mystery of the Little Red Dots

When all you can see is a speck, it’s hard to tell what you’re looking at. All you know about it is its color and brightness. Astronomers first argued that little red dots were distant galaxies on the cosmic horizon, mainly because of their brightness. But galaxies that bright would have to be huge — and there was no known way for them to grow so big in just hundreds of millions of years. Astronomers dubbed them “universe breakers” for the way they seemed to demolish the standard cosmic timeline.

Then they took a closer look. De Graaff led one survey, called Red Unknowns: Bright Infrared Extragalactic Survey (Rubies), and Naidu co-led another survey, called Mirage or Miracle (MOM). These were two of a wave of surveys that trained Webb telescope on distant objects, including little red dots, for hours at a time. They tabulated precisely what shades of light were coming from each dot, and how bright the shades were. This detailed color breakdown, known as a spectrum, told astronomers a far more detailed story than the initial observations had. Different atoms shine in subtly different hues, so the spectrum provided a sense of what the object’s particles were doing.

The bombshell discovery in the little red dot spectra was that the colors of hydrogen were smeared out across multiple shades. Usually, seeing such an effect means you’re looking straight at an exposed black hole. Black holes whip hydrogen clouds around them at furious rates, with the clouds emitting slightly different colors depending on their speed. The net effect is that instead of seeing just the hue of hydrogen, you see a range of colors called a broad line. The wider this range, the faster the fastest hydrogen clouds are flying — and the more massive the black hole.

Many astronomers concluded that big black holes dotted the universe, washing out the light of the stars in their host galaxies. As black holes, the little red dots would appear red because dust — grainy stuff much more complicated than gas — was blocking their blue light.

Yet they still seemed weird. Most supermassive black holes flicker as they gulp down chunky streams of gas around them. They also beam powerful X-rays across the universe. Most little red dots seemed to be doing neither of these things.

But that didn’t trouble astronomers much; they expected to see some strangeness during the pandemonium of the early universe. And at least the black holes weren’t breaking any cosmological theories.

Then, in the spring of 2025, de Graaff and Naidu’s teams unveiled the two strangest dots yet.

A New Interpretation

What made these two little red dots exceptional was how red they were. Webb picked up almost no light in the bluer hues of their spectra. And at a particular shade of red, the colors abruptly got much, much brighter. This feature, known as a Balmer break, is something you see when looking at a hot ball of hydrogen gas — typically, certain types of stars or galaxies (which are made of many stars). Deep in a star’s core, nuclear fusion pumps out heat and light, which slowly filters up to the star’s surface. There, hydrogen atoms can become energized in a way that blocks bluer light and lets through only redder light. These red colors have a hump-shaped spectrum that reveals the overall temperature of the star’s surface.

But the new little red dots couldn’t literally be stars — they were way too bright. And they didn’t look much like black holes either. Black holes have an assortment of ringlike structures of different temperatures. They don’t typically produce a Balmer break, or the red, hump-shaped curve indicative of a stellar surface burning at a uniform 5,000 or so degrees Kelvin.

Naidu and de Graaff concluded that they were looking at the first examples of something combining the vigor of a black hole with the outward appearance of a star: a black hole star.

From the outside, a black hole star would appear as a huge agglomeration of hydrogen gas. If our sun were replaced with a black hole star, it would extend a dozen times farther than the orbit of Pluto. Out toward the edge, the star would boil unstably, sloughing off outer layers and explosively ejecting mass. “It’s going to be a very messy system where stuff is being blown out and falling back in,” de Graaff said. “I wouldn’t want to come too close.”

Deep in the center, invisible to the outside world, the star would be powered by a black hole. This black hole would pull gas around it, dramatically heating it and pushing light and energy outward, which would keep the outer layers of hydrogen from collapsing inward. In this way, the black hole would form the “engine” of the star, analogous to the fusion-powered core of our sun. Moving outward, material swirling around the black hole would beam out a range of colors that would slowly make their way toward the surface. And as with certain stars, the hydrogen near the surface would stop the bluer light while letting the redder light pass through. The end result would be a gassy surface shining as brightly as a more exposed black hole but with the Balmer break and smooth red hump of a 5,000-kelvin star, de Graaff and Naidu theorized. As a bonus, the gas “cocoon” would also block X-rays, and the gas wouldn’t flicker much — which would explain two mysteries surrounding other little red dots.

But what about the broad lines, supposedly caused by hydrogen swirling fast around a black hole? Another group provided a possible explanation.

The group, which included Vadim Rusakov, an astronomer at the University of Manchester, had been scrutinizing the broad lines of the best-observed little red dots. Broad lines take the shape of a sharp mountain peak. But Rusakov and collaborators noticed that in many cases, these mountains sloped slightly more gently than would be expected if they came from fast-moving gas around a black hole. So they suggested that instead of coming from rotating gas, much of the spread of the hydrogen colors could come from light scattering off electrons.

They digitally removed the effect of this electron-induced smudging from their data, Rusakov said. After that, the broad lines stopped looking quite so broad and started looking more like light passing through a sluggishly churning shell of hydrogen gas in a particular state, similar to what you’d expect to see from a black hole star. The three teams — de Graaff’s, Naidu’s, and Rusakov’s — posted their findings on March 20, 2025 — “black hole star date,” as some of the researchers called it.

Black hole stars could represent a new stage in the development of a supermassive black hole: First, a black hole would form in the center of a shell of hydrogen, together with a baby galaxy of normal stars around it. Then, over time, the black hole would eat its way out of its cocoon, gaining mass as it cleared the hydrogen gas away.

“We are seeing the seed,” Naidu said. “This is the birth of potentially every massive black hole in the universe.”

The Argument Against

The black hole star enthusiasts appeal to Occam’s razor, arguing that their theory gives the simplest accounting of these two little red dots, and perhaps of little red dots in general. But simple is subjective, and astronomers have spent the last year in a lively debate about what’s really going on.

Even years after the discovery of the first little red dot, not much about them is settled. Dale Kocevski, an astrophysicist at Colby College, recalls leading a discussion about them at an April 2026 conference in Aspen, Colorado. He started by recapping what he hoped would be an uncontroversial idea about their trace amounts of blue light. “The group erupted into argument, and we couldn’t even get past the first bullet point,” he said.

Many astronomers still argue that little red dots are traditional black holes — even the new duo. “The data is really compelling,” said Roberto Maiolino of the University of Cambridge. “I’m a little bit more dubious about the interpretation.”

For each point in favor of black hole stars, Maiolino fires off a quick rebuttal. The lack of flicker? In the early universe, black holes may have had a steadier food supply and may therefore have been tidier eaters. The lack of X-rays? Standard galactic black holes are ringed by a thick doughnut of gas and dust, which can block most X-rays. He sees no reason to suspect the little red dots of being anything other than standard supermassive black holes.

The redness of the new objects is striking, he said, and he agrees that it means there must be a ton of gas between the black hole and us. But that gas could come in the form of the doughnut, or as puffy clouds that fill in patches of the black hole’s sky, as opposed to the shell of gas around a black hole star. Maiolino agrees that electron scattering likely contributes to broadening the lines in the spectra of some of the little red dots. But electron scattering also smears hydrogen lines from supermassive black holes, he said.

Maiolino and his collaborator, Piero Madau of the University of California, Santa Cruz, argue that the redness of the dots comes mainly from the angle at which we see them. The reddest dots are those that we happen to see edge on, their gassy doughnuts blocking our view. Webb also sees some “little blue dots.” These could be the same exposed black holes, viewed top-down, Maiolino and Madau pointed out in spring 2026. They also appeal to Occam’s razor — in this case arguing that black holes are a simpler explanation for little dots of all colors.

At this stage either theory — black hole or black hole star — could match what Webb telescope has seen. “I don’t think that there is a compelling reason to prefer one or the other,” said Mauro Giavalisco, an astronomer at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst who has spent much of his career interpreting the spectra of distant galaxies.

To test their interpretations, astronomers need a clearer picture of how black hole stars might form and how exactly they expect them to look.

Return of the Quasi-Star

Over the last few years, Mitchell Begelman has been teaching a graduate student seminar on little red dots at the University of Colorado, Boulder. It’s kept him reading the firehose of papers coming out on the subject. In these mysterious objects that weren’t quite stars and weren’t quite black holes, he recognized a ghost from his past: the quasi-star. “Suddenly the switch flipped, and I realized that this is what quasi-stars should look like,” Begelman said.

Begelman had proposed the existence of quasi-stars back in 2006, along with Marta Volonteri and Martin Rees, to explain observations of what looked like impossibly massive black holes.

Their quasi-star theory offers one way to make a black hole star: The core of a vast gas cloud collapses to directly form a black hole, gathering the remainder of the cloud around it.

In 2025, Begelman and his collaborator Jason Dexter applied the quasi-star model to the little red dots. They estimated that quasi-stars could quickly assemble themselves in a few million years before settling into a more mature form that would look just like little red dots. They would do this for tens of millions of years — lasting long enough for Webb to spot them.

In 2026, Giavalisco worked with a team to flesh out the quasi-star model as an origin for black hole stars, which he finds to be a natural way of explaining how little red dots could mask the signs of a feeding black hole. He points out that our sun performs the same trick, hiding its explosive fusion, just on a much smaller scale. “We have billions and billions of hydrogen bombs exploding every second, and yet we see none of them,” he said.

Giavalisco and his collaborators found that their new model of a quasi-star fit the spectra of de Graaf’s and Naidu’s objects even better than the initial models had. He thinks the quasi-star theory is a plausible explanation for the little red dots but remains open to other ideas. “I just want to know the truth,” he said.

In the meantime, researchers are starting to search for another distinguishing pattern: If little red dots are black hole stars formed in the early universe, then they should grow rarer over time as they each break free from their shells and reveal their inner black holes.

In an August 2026 census of both red and blue dots broken up into different eras, Kocevski of Colby College and his collaborators found exactly that pattern. In the data, as the universe approaches 2 billion to 3 billion years of age, the little red dots seem to vanish — preliminary evidence that little red dots, as black hole stars, might really be a puberty-like phase for many supermassive black holes.

Theorists are already working out what that puberty-like phase might be like. In another analysis, posted on September 8, Naidu, de Graaff, Eilers, and their collaborators tested out an assortment of techniques for deducing the mass of a black hole “seed” inside a black hole star. These hidden black holes seemed to be far less massive than standard, exposed black holes. The scientists propose that Webb is catching supermassive black hole stars — up to 1 million times the mass of the sun — in the act of incubating the universe’s first big black holes.

Some researchers, including Kocevski, still aren’t sure. Kocevski suspects that the universe is a messy place, and that some little red dots are truly as starlike as the black hole star camp is arguing. Others, he thinks, will be more like standard black holes, as the other camp argues. “I have a sneaking suspicion that we’re both right,” he said.