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The all-too-intuitive picture of a straight arrow going from cause to effect is far too simplistic to describe the real world.
If a forest is burning and we don’t know what’s responsible, does it have a cause?
Computer code serves as a useful analogy for what our genes do, but the complexity and messiness of life go well beyond simple analogies and mathematical models.
Can a set of simple instructions produce complex, three-dimensional living structures?
When our brains don’t have a good intuition for reasoning with numbers, explicit probabilistic thinking can lead to improved decision-making.
When faced with a difficult decision, should you go with your gut or carefully calculate the attendant risks?
A simple and elegant way to stack identical flat objects so that they project over an edge as far as possible.
What formula describes the farthest you can stack flat blocks over the edge of a table to form a seemingly gravity-defying half-bridge to nowhere?
Aside from potential clues gleaned from a fluke result, it would take hundreds of U.S. presidential elections to definitely conclude that one election forecasting model is superior to another.
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