What's up in
probability
Latest Articles
In the Universe of Equations, Virtually All Are Prime
Equations, like numbers, cannot always be split into simpler elements.
Solution: ‘The DNA Computer Program’
Computer code serves as a useful analogy for what our genes do, but the complexity and messiness of life go well beyond simple analogies and mathematical models.
How the DNA Computer Program Makes You and Me
Can a set of simple instructions produce complex, three-dimensional living structures?
Solution: ‘When Probability Meets Real Life’
When our brains don’t have a good intuition for reasoning with numbers, explicit probabilistic thinking can lead to improved decision-making.
When Probability Meets Real Life
When faced with a difficult decision, should you go with your gut or carefully calculate the attendant risks?
A Long-Sought Proof, Found and Almost Lost
When a German retiree proved a famous long-standing mathematical conjecture, the response was underwhelming.
The Devil in the Polling Data
The same problem that caused the 2007 financial crisis also tripped up the polling data ahead of this year’s presidential election.
Why (Almost) Everyone Was Wrong
The results of this year’s presidential election made a mockery of analytical election forecast modelers.
Solution: ‘Which Forecasts Are True?’
Aside from potential clues gleaned from a fluke result, it would take hundreds of U.S. presidential elections to definitely conclude that one election forecasting model is superior to another.